A Review of the Anthropogenic Global Warming Consensus: An Econometric Forecast Based on the ARIMA Model of Paleoclimate Series

This paper projects a climate change scenario using stochastic paleotemperature time series model and compares it to the prevailing consensus Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Process Model (ARIMA). The parameter estimates of were below that established by anthropogenic experts governmental organs, such as IPCC (UN) over 100-year scenario. Results from ARIMA suggest current period temperature reduction probable cooling. results this study add statistical element paleoclimate debate contradicts scientific consensus.